Dollars and Sense: The Significance of Knowing Your Home's Worth

You would have to be living under a rock or in an area that is completely off grid to not be somewhat aware that real estate prices have been fluctuating and increasing significantly in many areas over the past couple of years. If you have not purchased or refinanced recently, your homes value might have changed from where you thought it was just 12 -18 months ago. Knowing the value of your home can be important for many reasons of which, here are a few:

Financial Planning

The value of your home is a significant component of your overall net worth. Your home is likely one of your most significant assets. Knowing its value allows you to calculate your net worth accurately. Understanding its value helps you make informed decisions about your financial planning, such as determining your assets, calculating your equity, or evaluating your borrowing capacity.

Selling or Renting

If you're considering selling or renting out your property, knowing its value is crucial. It allows you to set a competitive price that aligns with the market, ensuring you don't undervalue or overprice your home.

Refinancing or Home Equity Loans

When refinancing your mortgage or applying for a home equity loan, the value of your home plays a vital role in determining the amount you can borrow. Lenders assess the loan-to-value ratio, which compares the loan amount to the home's appraised value, to determine eligibility and interest rates.

Property Taxes

The value of your home often influences property tax assessments. Local tax authorities use property values to calculate the amount of tax you owe. Knowing your home's value helps you ensure that you're being taxed fairly and can plan for potential increases.

Insurance Coverage

Understanding the value of your home is essential for obtaining the appropriate insurance coverage. If your home is underinsured, you may not receive sufficient compensation in the event of damage or loss. Conversely, overinsuring your home means paying more in premiums than necessary.

Investment Decisions

If you're considering real estate as an investment, knowing the value of your home can help you assess its potential return on investment, evaluate rental income potential, or make informed decisions about buying additional properties.

It is important to note that home values can fluctuate over time due to various factors such as market conditions, location, renovations, or changes in the neighborhood. Therefore, regularly monitoring and assessing your home's value is important for staying informed. If you would like to check out more information regarding the importance of knowing your homes value, check out the following articles:

https://www.homes.com/blog/2017/03/benefits-of-knowing-your-homes-value-whether-you-are-staying-or-selling/

https://www.homelight.com/blog/check-house-value/

Reducing the Stress of Divorce: The Vital Role of an Experienced Appraiser

We understand that going through a divorce is an incredibly challenging experience, both emotionally and legally. In these turbulent times, it becomes crucial to alleviate some of the stress involved in the process. One effective way to achieve this is by engaging the services of an experienced and qualified appraiser who has been established as an expert witness in divorce litigation. In this blog post, we will delve into the significance of hiring an appraiser with expert witness testimony experience for divorce appraisals, offering invaluable support during this trying period.

Understanding the Legal Process

An appraiser with expert witness testimony experience possesses an in-depth comprehension of the legal process involved in divorce appraisals. They are well-versed in the intricacies of presenting their findings in a clear and concise manner, ensuring that their testimony carries maximum weight in the courtroom. Their familiarity with legal procedures enhances the likelihood of a favorable outcome.

Credibility and Reputation

One key aspect of hiring an appraiser with expert witness testimony experience is the credibility and reputation they bring to the table. By engaging such an appraiser, you can rest assured that their testimony will be taken seriously by the court. Having established a track record of providing objective, unbiased opinions, I have successfully demonstrated my expertise in numerous courtrooms located in Armstrong, Westmoreland and Indiana Counties, thereby earning the reputation of a reliable and trustworthy appraiser.

Crucial Role in Court

In my professional opinion, the importance of hiring an appraiser with expert witness testimony experience cannot be overstated in divorce appraisals. The appraiser's opinion often serves as pivotal evidence in supporting one party's claims over the other, making it imperative for their testimony to withstand rigorous cross-examination. By selecting an appraiser with this specific experience, you minimize the risk of having your clients' arguments weakened or dismissed.

Reducing Stress During Divorce

Navigating through a divorce is an emotionally taxing experience. By ensuring that you choose an appraiser with the necessary qualifications and expertise to provide expert witness testimony, you can alleviate some of the stress associated with the process. The knowledge that your appraiser is capable of delivering accurate and unbiased valuations to support your case will provide you and your clients with peace of mind, allowing you to focus on other crucial aspects of the legal proceedings.

In the event that you require an appraisal during the course of a divorce, we invite you to contact our office, where we guarantee the utmost standard of excellence in appraisals, coupled with the professionalism necessary to deliver expert witness testimony, should the need arise.

Health Risks in Older Homes

When purchasing an older home, whether you intend to renovate with the plan to live in it or “flip it”, there are some risks you should familiarize yourself with before you begin.

Lead- Lead is often found in the paint, plumbing and the settled dust of an older home. Specifically, homes built prior to 1978 all carry the risk of lead based paint. If you want more information I wrote a blog article on the risks associated with this: https://www.tncresappraisals.com/blog/2022/10/14/lead-based-paint-cant-be-that-bad-or-can-it The best way to deal with lead issues is to consult with a certified lead professional before renovating.

Asbestos- Prior to 1980, asbestos was used in insulation, flooring, roof sheathing and even on textured ceilings. The EPA issued a ban on most products containing asbestos in 1989. When the asbestos fibers are damaged or disturbed, the become airborne which is when it poses the greatest hazard as you breathe these fibers into your lungs. This exposure can show up years later in the form of lung cancer and mesothelioma. When you suspect a material contains asbestos, never sand, scrape or drill holes through it. It is best to use an asbestos abatement professional to determine if something contains asbestos and for any type of repair or removal.

Mold- This can be one of the most insidious of the problems as it is a living organism that, when not treated thoroughly, can reoccur continuously. It also can hide and not appear as an issue until it is an overwhelming problem. It is most likely to occur in areas where there is plumbing or water infiltration like a roof leak or poorly sealed window frame. Those with pre-existing health issues such as allergies or lung problems can be overly sensitive to mold spores. In areas where there is more than 100 square feet of affected area, it is strongly recommended that you use a professional to remediate this issue.

While all three of these health hazards can be scary to think about, each of them are treatable with the right kind of professional. Know the risk and evaluate their impact within your decision process.

Murrysville 2022 Market in Review

The year 2022 was a year of historically low inventory and high demand, unlike anything Murrysville has seen in recent history. Interest rates have been a major player in the market this year and definitely caused some of the historic gains to cool off towards the last quarter of the year. As rates rose, activity slowed- at least to a certain extent. As you look through this report, you will notice that the rise in mortgage rates corresponds to other market data events.

The annual median home sales price rose from $330,000 in 2021 to $374,100 in 2022 which is a 13.4% increase. Compare that to the year 2020 when the median sale price was $300,000 and the increase was at 10%.  In looking to this coming year, it is safe to say that these increases will cool down. To what degree will depend on mortgage interest rates, inflation, demand and market saturation.

The general trend in the median sale price over the past year has been increasing with the peaks in those increases showing up during the summer months.

The supply has been historically very low in 2022 and this chart shows that there was a build up right around April. It is typically between March and April that sellers list their properties in anticipation of the height of the buying season.

The marketing times (expressed in DOM- days on market) has also been extremely low. However, in the past few months, this has been rising due to a cooling in the market most likely attributed to seasonal cyclical events during winter months and compounded by the rising mortgage rates. A rise in marketing times should be viewed as a possible indicator that listing prices are at a peak point and/or demand is starting to balance.

As is expected, the quantity of sales is most active in the months May through September.

The current number of active listings is also decreasing. We will have to wait to see if this starts to increase when the market typically experiences seasonal cyclical events around March or April when sellers like to place their properties on the market.

Not only as demonstrated in the previous chart which showed the number of actives decreasing, the median list price is also decreasing. This could be significant to keep in mind. As the marketing times increase and the list prices decrease, this could have a direct impact on the median sale price going forward. Only time will tell how all of this will affect 2023 sales.

Neighborhood vs Market Area

One of the foundations that determines the value of a property is the well known mantra- location, location, location. But what does that really mean? Simply put, the value of a property is in direct relation to where it is located- both its neighborhood and the market area it is located within. An appraiser should be able to define the neighborhood along with the market area in order to research and accurately report those factors that affect the value of a property.

What defines a subject’s neighborhood? A neighborhood is a group of complementary land uses, a congruous grouping of inhabitants, buildings or business enterprises. It focuses on four sets of considerations that influence value: social, economic, governmental and environmental factors. Sometimes, a neighborhood is well defined- consider some housing plans and subdivisions or even small towns. In more rural areas, the neighborhood is less easily defined and could encompass an entire municipality.

So then, how is the neighborhood different from the market area? A market area is the geographic or locational delineation of the market for a specific category of real estate. It is an area in which alternative similar properties effectively compete with the subject in the minds of potential purchasers, often referred to as the buyer pool. A market area is often much larger than a neighborhood. A property located in a subdivision could have a market area that includes additional alternative subdivisions that would have a similar appeal based on the location, school district, access to local amenities, median price range, etc.

Within any given market analysis is a term referred to as market segmentation. This is the process by which submarkets within a larger market are defined. Specifically, it is taking a look at the market data and determining segmented portions such as retirement communities, condominiums, investment properties, etc.

One example would be a sub-market for condominiums in Murrysville. Condominiums in this market area make up less than 10% of the overall real estate but there is a well defined buyer pool for these types of properties. In order to analyze the impact of value on a condominium in Murrysville, you would need to first analyze the plan it is located in (the neighborhood), then analyze Murrysville as a whole (the market area) and then further extract that data to analyze other similar condominiums in Murrysville (segmented market area).

As you can see, the location of any given property can be directly influenced by its direct neighborhood, the larger market area and the segment of the market that it is classified as.

In the near future, I’d like to take a very real but hypothetical look at an example property and how knowing both your neighborhood and market area has a direct impact on the data needed to be analyzed and the comparables chosen.

Appraisal Racial Bias (part 3)

I’ve been discussing the topic of real estate appraisals and the allegations of racial bias that has the possibility of creating issues for some homeowners or potential homeowners. There have been a few cases that have had the spotlight shown on them and the scenarios are all relatively similar.

It starts with an appraisal that is completed on a home where the occupant is of a minority race- whether the appraiser meets the occupant in person or there are pictures and other personal contents that elude to the persons race within the home. When the appraisal is completed it is perceived to be “low”. A subsequent appraisal is completed in which the home has now been “whitewashed”. If you haven’t heard of the term, it refers to the process of removing all indications of minority race within the home and even having a white person stand in as the fake homeowner. Some of the current cases out there are real life examples and others are experiments in which the entities conducting these are doing it for the sole purpose of trying to prove that the appraisal process is inevitably biased.

In either case, these are serious allegations.

I’d like to ask a few provoking questions that don’t have easy answers.

Does a value that comes in lower than what someone was expecting or desiring automatically mean the value is wrong?

When a homeowner or occupant is of a minority race, if the appraisal value is lower than what someone feels it should be, does that mean racial bias came into play?

Is it possible that the lower value was accurate and that the higher value was a case of reverse bias?

There is one case in particular that took place for a black couple out of northern California where the homeowners make this statement to CNN- “What that appraisal did is what we were actually asking the appraisers to do, to not consider race, to not consider neighborhoods and or the lines that have been drawn and perpetuated by redlining.” Based on this statement, if an appraiser stays within the neighborhood and the neighborhood happens to be primarily occupied by a minority group, does this indicate racial bias was a factor in completing the appraisal?

In the future, I’d like to discuss more the idea of neighborhoods and market areas. For now, I hope these questions have been thought provoking and at least given some pause to consider different angles.

Price per Square Foot Is not an Indicator of Value

There are examples throughout the country where the value of a property is referenced by price per square foot. Human beings often want a simple concept that is easy to convey and understand. This simple unit of measure takes the sale price of the house and divides it by the square footage of the house to derive at a simple unit measure of assumed value. Even if this was a trusted metric, unfortunately, the square footage might not even be right as there is no universal standard that determines this to make it reliable. Many trusted real estate websites and even real estate professionals refer to this metric when selling or attempting to use a valuation model to determine estimated value or list price. Let me tell you why this is not a good unit of measure to value your property.

First you need to understand that in order for this to make sense, all factors for marketability must be equal across the board. Its like saying that the value of a car is equal to the price per horse power regardless of the brand, style, age and condition. That makes about as much sense as determining value as a cost per square foot. Just like there are multiple factors that make up a car besides the horsepower, there are many factors that make up the value of a property that can include the quality of construction, condition, how many bedrooms and bathrooms or even the size of the lot. When you break down a sale price or assumed value based only on the gross living area of a property, you eliminate the other factors that all contribute to the value of the property.

Let’s look at a hypothetical example which happens quite often in Westmoreland County and use a 2,000 sf 2 story home built in the early 2000’s using average quality components and workmanship. These homes have 4 bedrooms and 2 1/2 bathrooms above grade with a finished family room and full bathroom in the basement.

Example 1- Located in Murrysville and is located in an established residential plan with a lot size of approximately 1/2 acre. The home has been well maintained and has a fully remodeled kitchen and bathrooms. This home also has a 2 car integral garage.

Example 1- sold for $350,000 which calculates to $175.00 per square foot.

Example 2- Located in Washington Township which is just north of Murrysville but is serviced by a different school district. This house is located in a more residential rural area and sits on 5 acres of property. This home is exactly the same as example one except this home did not have any remodeling and it has a 3 car detached garage that was built 5 years ago. Its been well maintained but most items have not been replaced.

 Example 2- sold for $400,000 which calculates for $200.00 per square foot.

So which one is right- $175.00 or $200.00? Actually, neither. As you can see by these examples, while the houses may be the same in square footage, there are many determining factors that contribute to the value of a property. The higher price per square foot for the second example can be attributed to the lot size and newly built 3 car garage but these are factors that have nothing to do with the square footage of the house.

Our job as an appraiser is to determine those factors that contribute to the marketability of a property. These can include location, quality, condition, utility, lot size and additional amenities such as pools, outbuildings, etc. We use multiple methods to determine how these impact the determinations of both buyers and sellers and apply them accordingly. I can emphatically say that we never calculate value using the price per square foot “method” because we don’t have such a method. The only way price per square foot should be applied is when determining the cost to build a structure.

Murrysville Year 2021 in Review

Last year, I relocated my business to Murrysville. It has been a pleasure to provide residential valuation services in an area that has so much to offer. As many have heard, read or experienced, the real estate market in the year 2021 was crazy. Houses would go up for sale and within a very short period of time, sometimes hours, multiple offers were received. Buyers were getting very aggressive with their offers, electing to forego all inspections, include escalation clauses and even include things such as free pizza dinners on Fridays for a year or Super Bowl tickets.

I decided to run the numbers on Murrysville as a whole and found that in the year 2021 there were a total of 267 recorded sales using a search of our local multiple listing service. These numbers do not include foreclosures or short sales. As an appraiser, we analyze what is going on in the market area. When doing this, we have to look at both the long term and short term activity in order to be able to recognize when there are changes happening in the market and how to best determine how this impacts value.

Murrysville Year 2021 Real Estate Sales Statistics

If you look at the general statistics of the area as a whole using simple regression, this shows that the year in review experienced a rising predominant sales price of about 1.3% per month.

Murrysville, 2021 Qtr 1

The moment you break down the sales prices into quarters, there are some very interesting results. The first quarter of the year had 59 sales which was the least number of transactions per quarter but was the only quarter that experienced an increase in predominant sales prices. Seasonally, the first and fourth quarters typically are the times of year with the least number of transactions, however, there were not the significant differences that we would typically find between the quarters. Quarter 2 had 78 sales, quarter 3 had 63 sales and the last quarter had 65 sales. More surprising is that the remaining 3 quarters experienced declines in the predominant sales prices.

Murrysville, 2021 Qtr 2

Murrysville, 2021 Qtr 3

Murrysville, 2021 Qtr 4

It is important to know that when determining the impact of what is going on in the market, statistics need to be analyzed specific to the area and specific to the time frame being impacted. Quarter 1 experienced a very significant increase in sales prices, quarter 2 was basically flat, quarter 3 had a reverse reaction by a notable decline with another decline in the 4th quarter but not as significant as the previous quarter.

The good news is that the declines of the last 2 quarters did not erase the overall trend of an increase from the beginning of the year. However, the last 2 quarters show that there could be a definite trend that is showing a cooling off and decline in the predominant sales prices.